Page updated: 30 November 2020
Search plans need to be based on what is likely to have happened to the subject. Determine the most likely scenario by identifying, developing and analysing possible scenarios.
Consult people with expertise in:
Examine what you know about the subject and the incident, and work with experts to identify possible scenarios.
Once you’ve identified possible scenarios, use the Scenario Recording Sheet to develop each scenario by adding evidence or factors used:
Members of the Incident Management Team (IMT) should test developed scenarios against what is known about the incident. When doing this, members of the IMT should consider:
Each member of the IMT needs to rank the likelihood of each scenario. The scenario with the highest overall ranking should be considered the most likely.